I've received some new info on what "campus repopulation" will look like for Fall.
As you all now, in Dec, the CSU system announced the goal to reopen all campuses by fall 2021. They haven't released - as far as I know - any more info beyond that.
I've heard numbers like "50% of classes back on campus" bandied about but I've yet to hear concrete plans as to how that might be achievable. The feeling amongst staff/faculty is that this seems unrealistic for a few reasons:
1) Repopulating campus is fundamentally about risk assessment. The univ. wouldn't reopen classes if they feel like there's too much risk involved there. Keep this basic idea in mind for the rest.
2) Decisions to re-open classes have to be made right around now. The school doesn't want to promise in spring "we're reopening MATH 102 on campus" and then turn around in August and say "yeah, sorry, we can't do it." But likewise, if they make a class online now, they can't turn around and turn it into an in-person class later. They have to commit to decisions now, in light of limited data.
And remember: they're managing risk. Keeping more classes online is less risky than overpromising on bringing classes back to campus.
3) The rates of vaccination are nowhere near what you'd need them to be to have a critical mass of the campus population vaccinated in time for fall. Current on-campus staff will have access and presumably, other staff and faculty will later this spring. But as most students - who don't have pre-existing medical conditions - are lumped into the general population for vaccine access, there's no reliable forecast as to what % will be vaccinated by fall.
4) Regardless of vaccination progress, the physical classrooms themselves would be subject to guidelines around air circulation and social distancing and logistically, that makes things very challenging. Your standard class caps around 40 enrolled students but if you're only allowed to use 1/4 or 1/3 of the physical classroom space in order to maintain distancing, then you have a basic capacity issue.
(For this reason, large - 100+ student - classes this fall in CLA will be online. That decision was made months ago and it won't change no matter what. So if you're taking any larger lecture courses in the College of Liberal Arts in the fall, just know with 100% certainty, that class will be online. I don't know what the policy is for other colleges on campus but I'd be surprised if they were much different. If it's not considered safe or feasible to teach a large history lecture class in person, I don't see why the same-sized business school class would be any different.)
5) I can only speak for my immediate experiences with this but I know myself and my colleagues are being given the option to keep teaching online and it's been made very clear that any attempt to force faculty back to teach in person for fall would be met with heavy resistance. Given everything else, it also doesn't make sense for the univ. to pressure faculty to come back to campus when it doesn't know what conditions will be like come fall. Spring 2022 may be a different story though so right now, I'm just talking about Fall 2021.
6) With all this said, I do expect more classes may return on campus in Fall. That seems reasonable. But how much more is the question.
Again, if you hear "50%" you should be skeptical about that. It might be a goal but based on everything we know now, it doesn't seem like a realistic one and more to the point, given that those decisions need to be made now I can't imagine a scenario where the school would gamble on things magically being good enough to get to that goal based on what information we have right now.
That said, even if it's just 10-20%, that's probably a big leap over what it is now. And to be clear, there's definitely faculty who'd like to come back to campus, especially if they've been vaccinated. I'd love to start teaching in person again but I already know all my classes will be online for Fall. Other instructors might have the option to come back and again, I'm sure some will take that opportunity. Just don't expect 50%.

Once again, the Calvary comes to the rescue. Americans can now heave a sigh of relief after months of having to watch their fate hang in the balance as both Democrats and Republicans sparred over stimulus. After foot-dragging and name-calling for several months, Congress decided to approve a $600 stimulus package. However, the incoming Biden administration has promised an additional $1,400 making the total of $2000 in stimulus to be received by Americans.
As expected, some of that money would find its way into the stock market. The explosion of retail trading made possible by apps such as Robinhood and Etoro has meant that more people can trade in stocks for zero or little commission. Flush with cash from the government, people are trying to the stock market to increase their money.
Based on the prevailing macro-economic conditions, financial valuation, and social trends, we have compiled a list of stocks you should be spending your $2000 stimmy on.
DraftKings
As more states become amiable towards online gambling, one of the stocks which would benefit from expected legislation would be DraftKings. The expanding legalization of digital sports betting is an emerging trend. The November election results showed voters in several states largely approved ballot measures that legalized sports betting and other gaming expansion measures.
On the revenue side, DraftKings saw a 98% year-over-year surge to $132.8 million in the latest quarter, reported on Nov. 13. In the quarter, the company raised its full-year 2020 revenue range to $540 million-$560 million, which equates to 25%-30% annual revenue growth.
DraftKings also introduced 2021 revenue guidance of $750 million to $850 million, which equates to 45% year-over-year growth using the midpoints. The resumption of major sports such as the NBA, MLB, and the NHL in the third quarter, as well as the start of the NFL season, has generated tremendous customer engagement and revenue which implies that this stock would definitely see some significant upside.
Square
2020 was a very good year for Square. The company’s share price soared above 250% last year and was one of the pandemic winners in the market. Given the company’s fundamentals, Square's stock price will repeat the type of growth it saw in 2020. The services that Square provides -- particularly its Cash App, which allows people to send and receive money without physical contact -- have become more necessary during these times of social distancing and working from home. Revenue for the Cash App was up a whopping 574% year over year in the third quarter.
The company is also invested in bitcoin having out in seed capital in acquiring bitcoin. With bitcoin estimated to cross the $40,000 mark and possibly running as far as $146,000, this would shore up the company’s reserves.
GM
One reason why investors have been wary of the EV sector is the mounting debt and huge cash burn. This has made investors question the profitability of stocks in the electric vehicle space. With more EV stocks coming through the market through SPACS, investors are already mulling the idea that this may be a bubble. However, one company that many believe to have potential in the EV space is GM. Apart from having the infrastructure necessary to build cars, the company is can leverage its brand to ensure loyalty from customers. In addition, while other EV stocks such as Tesla and NIO may be fully stretched, share prices of General Motors are cheap, plus the company is been raking in profits.
In November, GM announced it plans to invest $27 billion in EV and autonomous vehicles through 2025. GM also plans to release 30 EV models globally by 2025. For comparison, Tesla currently has exactly four EV models. Earlier this week, the company signed a deal with Microsoft for its autonomous vehicles. GM continues to execute well on its Core and Future businesses and remains one of the best-positioned companies in our coverage over the long run. The stock is a good buy for the long haul.
AMD
As the digitalization of the world continues at an astronomic pace, microchips would continue to play a more prominent role. Already, there is a shortage of chips worldwide which means demand and prices would surge. One company poised to benefit from this growing demand is AMD. The company has managed to chip away at Intel's CPU dominance thanks to its superior product line, which is based on a smaller manufacturing node, allowing it to deliver better computing performance and reduce power consumption. The use of chips would continue to grow as more people are drawn to cryptocurrency mining, online gaming, and data center storage. AMD was one of the biggest winners in2020, and the trend is expected to continue well into this year. It is also one stock that may not be affected by the rotation into value as microchips would continue to be in demand.
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor is a dedicated foundry that manufactures semiconductors for other companies. It aims to lead in both semiconductor technology and manufacturing, providing an open collaboration platform to build enduring trust with its customers.
The core strategy of Taiwan Semiconductor is its flexible business model. TSM does not need to design its own chips and prove its performance against the competitors; it only has to provide the technology and base for producers looking to make the best and fastest chips suited to their products' needs. By maintaining high-quality manufacturing processes and offering a collaborative platform to its customers, Taiwan Semiconductor ensures that it caters to producers across the spectrum even as technology rapidly evolves.
The company has experienced strong growth: From 2015 to 2019, net revenue increased by a solid 26.9%, while net income increased 12.7%. However, as smart technology has become ever more central to lives the company's growth has begun to heat up. In Q3 2020, the company boosted its net revenue by 21.6% year over year, while net income increased by 35.9%.
ETSY
Etsy provides an online e-commerce platform where creators of arts and crafts, vintage items, and other unique goods go to sell their products. Etsy has something that many high-growth companies don't -- a profitable business model. It boasts a trailing-12-month operating margin of 16%, making this unique online marketplace a buy today even at its premium valuation. It has outmaneuvered eBay (EBAY), avoided the Amazon (AMZN) crush, and dodged competition from Overstock.com (OSTK) and Wayfair (W).
When it reported third-quarter results on Oct. 28, Etsy reported a 128% leap in revenue to $451 million, well above Wall Street estimates of $412.7 million. Adjusted earnings came in at 70 cents, vs. estimates of 57 cents. In addition, gross merchandise sales jumped 119% to $2.6 billion.
Sunpower
Interest in renewable energy sources has soared immensely and continues to rise with each passing day. Two key forces are behind this surge: Increased awareness and urgency to address climate change, and falling costs of generation using renewables. Among renewable sources, solar energy looks most promising, due to its more predictable generation pattern. Solar's share in electricity generation is expected to rise from roughly 3% currently to more than 20% by 2050. SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWR) is one stock poised to benefit from these trends.
With a huge government push, California leads the way in solar adoption. Still, only 9% of homes in California have solar installations, representing a huge untapped market. In the new homes segment, SunPower has headway, having already worked with 18 of the top 20 builders in California. The company captures more than half of California's new homes market.
Its low-cost model positions it well to compete on pricing. The company can leverage its vast customer base to sell its storage products. Moreover, its leading position in the commercial and California's new homes market provide SunPower an edge over others in these segments.
PLUG
Plug power provides hydrogen fuel cell turnkey solutions to electric mobility and stationary power markets. The company continues innovating end-to-end hydrogen fuel solutions by harnessing its unique capabilities and is the largest buyer of liquid hydrogen in North America.
Though the company has not posted any profit, many hedge funds are bullish on the stock, with analysts having high recommendations. The company’s $1.5bn deal with South Korean conglomerate SK Group into American hydrogen company has certainly drawn a lot of attention, with many investors gauging the company’s profitability.
Plug Power’s core business is providing fuel cell-powered forklifts for commercial customers. However, it has expanded to hydrogen production following its acquisition of two hydrogen companies.
These acquisitions expand the plug’s addressable market which has already exceeded $30 billion. The resulting vertical integration of the acquisitions makes Plug Power an even stronger company as can now provide the hydrogen that powers its vehicles.
This definitely allows Plug to leverage on its already existing customer base which includes some of the best companies in the country. Plug Power raised its 2024 guidance to $1.2 billion in revenue and $200 million in operating income. Shares of PLUG have risen by 111% in the last month.
Tesla
Returning to the green-energy theme, Tesla is one stock that has significant upside. The company is positioned to benefit from the clean energy drive of the Biden administration. Apart from that, Tesla is the leader in its sector and continues to increase its delivery numbers. Tesla is now the most valuable auto company in the world. It has recently surpassed Facebook (FB) by market capitalization. The stock has recently received upgrades from analysts and if the EV market continues to evolve, Tesla would continue to be in the pole position, which gives it significant market share and of course revenue.
GrowGeneration Corp.
For those looking at balance sheets and income statements, GrowGeneration Corp is one highly profitable marijuana stock to watch in 2021. The company has the largest chain of specialty hydroponic and organic garden centers in the U.S. with 36 storefront locations. In essence, the company supplies products necessary for growing cannabis and works closely with major marijuana companies in the U.S. market.
Shares of Grow Generation returned a whopping 880.98% in 2020, posting the fastest-growing quarterly results in the industry. It is expected that the company would continue its momentum this year. The shares of the company have so far risen by 20% this year.
Additionally, the company continued strategic acquisition and expansion plans in the quarter, giving GrowGen more growth potential for 2021. It was easily one of the best performing cannabis stocks for 2020. In essence, GRWG stock showed greater market stability than other pot stocks in the U.S. in 2020.
Thanks for reading!
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I have a debit card tied to my checking account and I know the Cash app and Coinbase offered very reasonable 1.5% fees especially for INSTANT transfer. But the reason I have zero posts is this is a throwaway account. I was banned from Coinbase for online gambling. And as for the Cash app... I had my account compromised recently. I have it all sorted out with them but feel it'd be too risky. I did a little research and it looks like coin mama you can sell to and they'll send to your bank but how long will this take? Are there any instant send for 1.5% fee apps out there similar to Coinbase and Cash App I'm not aware of? Totally willing to pay that 1.5% fee for instant funds in my bank account. California, USA, based I am, btw. If that makes any difference.

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Hello everyone. A few months ago, I posted an extensive write up on the DeOrr Kunz case and later the Asha Degree case with several other missing people’s cases sprinkled in between, which many readers seemed to enjoy. Those can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/UnresolvedMysteries/comments/fcmvmz/extensive_summary_regarding_the_disappearance_of/
Today, I wanted to do a similar long form write up but this time, I wanted to switch gears and talk about Ridgway and his victims.
Terms used
The scene- A term used by Bundy and LE to describe the people with high risk lifestyles those who are homeless, sex workers, exotic dancers, drug users, hitchhikers, and others who are down and out
The Strip- An area of Pacific Highway South near the airport in extreme south Seattle (no longer Seattle) known for the scene. Most GRK victims were last seen in this area.
The Avenue- An area of extreme north Seattle along Aurora Avenue North known for the scene. A handful of women disappeared from this area.
Rainier Avenue and Central District- Neighborhoods in south Seattle near the strip. Usually regarded as cheaper places to live. A handful of women disappeared from here.
The camp- An area of downtown Portland known for prostitution
Dating- A term used to literature to refer to soliciting prostitutes. Ridgway used this term as did many sex workers. I use this term below as that is what is described in GRK literature. I don’t use it dull what was happening in these exchanges.
Boyfriend or protector- Many of the women in this case had boyfriends or protectors who were actually pimps. Which is why some of these women had the same “boyfriends.” If the men who were involved were not believed to be pimps, I tried to note that.
Introduction
Living in the Pacific Northwest everyone you meet seems to have had a close encounter with a notorious criminal. I know a woman who Bundy followed on April 17th 1974 in Ellensburg, Washington before he abducted Susan Rancourt. I talked to a barber once who told me he cut Ridgway’s hair and used to watch Constance Naon (one of Ridgway’s victims) take dates to her place across the street in the Rainier area. In college I used to shop at a Safeway store that Bundy worked at. Some days it seems like everyone I talk to has the same stories, close encounters, and bizarre brushes with some of the worst men in America. This is the story of one of those men, Gary Leon Ridgway.
I believe that Gary Ridgway, the Green River Killer, was a much more prolific predator than most people online seem to think and I wanted discuss these crimes because his victims are often dismissed while they deserve to be remembered.
In the true crime community, there is a near reverence for Ted Bundy. On the other hand, Ridgway is considered boring and banal. These feelings of course are perpetrated Bob Keppel’s book, Riverman; Ted Bundy and I hunt for the Green River Killer which contains large swathes of interviews from an incarcerated Ted Bundy. King County authorities interviewed Bundy on Florida’s death row in hopes of getting confessions out of him during the 1980s. Instead Bundy wanted to talk about the new murderer plaguing his home state, the Green River Killer. In his interviews, Bundy provides interesting insight into the mind a killer and many of his predictions about the “Riverman” turned out to be true. Naturally, some of his predictions were also false. Bundy, the master manipulator, was able create a narrative about Ridgway and his victims which has bled into the public consciousness. The descriptions of Ridgway’s crimes have been controlled by Ted Bundy’s opinions and his apparent distaste for Ridgway. In discussions on this case I often see people say things like “Ridgway isn’t interesting to me because his victims were high risk” or “Ridgway was dumb, he was so lucky he wasn’t caught.” In my opinion this is unfair to victims of the Green River Killer – in addition to being false. Of course, Bundy is not the only reason people say these things but his opinions have shaped this case. At the end of the day, Bundy should not have a say in how these crimes are perceived.
Most importantly, the victims of these men (and other killers) are not entertainment, these are real people who lives were stolen and all of their stories deserve to be told, even if the man who killed them is considered by some to be “uninteresting.”
Additionally, no one wants to compare to Bundy and Ridgway but I believe the men have more similarities than Bundy wanted people to believe. Bundy hated being compared to the Riverman and I think it is because Bundy knew that the Riverman was more prolific than Bundy could ever be. Bundy’s ego led him to adopt a dismissive attitude towards this crime spree and he always bristled when compared to the “Riverman” and unfortunately these ideas have become gospel. These assumptions aside, I think Ridgway was a much more prolific killer than anyone will ever be able to prove.
There are so many misconceptions about Gary Ridgway that I want to discuss. People say that Ridgway was stupid, he was free to kill as long as he did because no one cared, and finally that he only was able to be “get away with it” because all of his victims were sex workers. Not only are these ideas false, these misconceptions invalidate the stories of Ridgway’s victims.
Intelligence
The first thing I think is often talked about when discussing Ridgway was his intelligence or lack thereof. While it is true that IQ tests showed that Ridgway hovered on the line between impaired and typical, and he apparently had a learning disability that affected his school performance, I will always argue that Ridgway was no dummy. I have worked with the disabled population for several years. That experience taught me that IQ is a bunk way to measure intelligence. Some of my acquaintances have higher IQ scores than Ridgway’s 80, but struggle to keep down jobs or lack social skills. On the other hand, people I have worked with lower IQs (62-80) than that have attended 2-year college, kept down jobs, married, and had families. IQ in and of itself is poor determinate of intelligence. In my experience, IQ seems to measure processing speed, not intelligence. I am not sure if this 100% scientifically accurate, it is just my experience but I think it is worth noting. All that to say, I don’t think Ridgway was nearly as impaired as many armchair detectives make him out to be. The women he fooled were street smart and don’t deserve less attention simply because they were fooled by a “dumb” predator. Perpetrating this myth does a disservice to Ridgway’s victims. I am not arguing that Ridgway was a criminal mastermind of above average intelligence, that is simply not true. I am simply trying to demonstrate that Ridgway cold and calculating, not blundering and impaired.
Forensic Counter Measures
Ridgway’s intelligence is also evidenced by his crime spree and the forensic countermeasures he employed. Many online sleuths have used this information to show Ridgway’s lack of intelligence, but I would argue that his forensic counter measures actually worked. The Riverman would put used gum, beer cans, and cigarette butts near his body dumping grounds. He also put airport and hotel pamphlets near the bodies to make law enforcement think that the killer was a traveling business man which is why his crimes would start and stop. While these attempts at misdirection did not fool law enforcement for very long, it did muddy the water with media coverage. It was reported that the killer was a traveler, a smoker, or a guy who liked big red gum even though Ridgway was none of these things. These little attempts at misdirection fooled the general public in Ridgway’s favor and precious time and resources were wasted forensically testing these items.
When Ridgway began dumping victims in the Portland area law enforcement incorrectly believed that their killer had moved and they minimized their efforts in Seattle, falling right into Ridgway’s trap. The killer also changed his car regularly and made sure that he created false trails. Ridgway changed his car often, he used his own cars sometimes but he also drove his brother’s truck, his parents station wagon and his girlfriend’s/wives’ cars. As many know Gary was employed as a truck painter. He spent a lot of his time at home painting and working on his cars, removing and replacing canopies and just in general altering his vehicles. This allowed Ridgway to move about more freely as he was not seen in only one type of car. This is in stark contrast to Ted who repeatedly used his tan colored bug until it was linked to the murders. At that point Bundy would use Liz Kendall’s bug or make slight modifications to his own car but these efforts paled in comparison to Ridgway’s efforts to conceal his vehicles.
Ridgway also made sure the women he killed were clean when he dumped their bodies. He would have them shower and used the bathroom before his crimes, which had a three-fold purpose. First it put his victims at ease around him. Second, it made his clean up easier (victims wet themselves when being strangled and Gary didn’t like doing extra laundry), and third it removed evidence from his victims’ bodies. This is a just another example of how Ridgway was able go undetected for so long. He thought about his crimes, learned things and then changed his methods to iron out bumps in his murderous plans.
When questioned by investigators he always had explanations for his whereabouts and did not deny “dating” women on the SeaTac strip. Ridgway even used women he had been seeing to create alibis and a false sense of security. In his confession he explained that he would often pick up sex workers for dates repeatedly and not kill or hurt them in order to create a facade that he was a nice guy.
All of these things suggest that Ridgway wasn’t the bumbling criminal he was made out to be.
Victims
Another misconception in the Green River case regards victimology. Many people seem to think that all of Ridgway’s victims were sex workers which is simply not true. Contrary to popular belief some of the Green River victims were not prostitutes, although most did lead high risk lifestyles and were part of the “scene” as Bundy called it. Many were homeless, addicts, sex workers, exotic dancers, and hitch hikers, but not all. Carol Ann Christensen had no connections to this scene at all and worked as a waitress at a bar and grill near the airport. Opal Mills, a local high school student, had no arrests for prostitution (or anything else) but was known to hitch hike. Cheryl Wims was not a known sex worker but did struggle with addiction to drugs and alcohol. Ridgway’s victimology was actually much broader than most people assume.
Bundy used this misinformation about GRK’s victims to “prove” that he was a better criminal than the Riverman as Bundy abducted low risk victims, even though we know Bundy killed at least several hitchhikers who were unfortunate enough to get in his car. And Bundy, ever the coward, often chose very small willowy women to victimize. Ridgway on the other hand was physically strong even though he appeared slight. Ridgway was able to control and subdue many women, and while many were small and young some of his victims outweighed him, and a few were taller than him. My point being, both men were cowards and monsters who took advantage of all types of women, their victimology is not that different. Both men killed both low risk and high-risk victims, but of course Bundy doesn’t like to focus on his high-risk victims.
The abduction and murders of women not in the scene, (waitresses, moms at bus stops, and daycare workers) demonstrates that Ridgway was intelligent and organized enough to pull off meticulous crimes which were never solved... he just preferred easier targets.
Investigation
Another misconception about Ridgway is that he was only was allowed to kill due to the women he victimized; this is a partial misconception. In 1982, right after the first several bodies were found floating in the Green River, a task force was formed made up of 25 detectives from both the city of Kent and King County. For the next 19 years, as many as 40 detectives at a time (70 people if you include officers and support staff) worked solely on this case. At its smallest, 4 or 6 detectives were at work following up on tips. For years, evidence was collected. Men were followed and interviewed. Suspect lists were compiled. When this crime spree occurred, there was no AFIS (automated finger print identification system), no DNA testing, and little cooperation between agencies. A single finger print could take two months to process. Then it had to be compared manually and sent from state to state to check for matches. At the end of the day, the tab for this investigation cost a whopping $30 million dollars.
In the late 1980s detective Matt Haney had a hunch that Ridgway was the most likely killer but it took years for his suspicions to be proved. Using a tip from Marie Malvar’s family, he collected Ridgeway’s DNA in 1987, the same year DNA testing became available. Most other detectives believed other, better suspects were the ones to blame.
Despite the best technology at the time and Haney’s suspicions, Ridgway was not caught. As mentioned above, Ridgway was always a Green River suspect. From his first arrest for solicitation in 1982 until the day he was apprehended Ridgway was among the hundreds of men suspected of being the killer. Despite being on this list, Ridgway evaded capture because on paper, he was a poor suspect. Ridgway was a very typical man in both appearance and life style. He held down the same job for years. He was married and even fathered a son. In his life he was generally even keeled and unremarkable. He was investigated by the Green River Task force several times. Gary’s coworkers even named him “Green River Gary” a moniker he hated, but even his coworkers claimed they were just teasing the awkward guy at work, they did not actually believe he was capable of committing such atrocities.
Moreover, Ridgway had no record of violent offenses. Several violent crimes from his past would come out once he was arrested, but none of these were on his official police record. In the early 80s he was accused of assaulting a sex worker, but the charges were dropped when the woman did not want to testify. Ridgway also had a juvenile record for stabbing a 6-year-old boy, but being a juvenile at the time those records were sealed.
Ridgway was always willing to work with investigators and readily admitted he “dated” women on the SeaTac strip. He allowed himself to be interviewed but nothing solid was ever linked to him. He even gave hair samples and passed two polygraphs. Additionally, Ridgway gained the trust of many working girls he did not kill. He purposely left many women he “dated” unharmed. Some prostitutes who were interviewed by the task force inadvertently protected Ridgway by painting the picture that he was a harmless John who showed them pictures of his son and was polite. Sometimes, he even bought them burgers to eat. This misdirection on Ridgway’s part was just one reason he was never apprehended.
Ridgway was so different than any other captured serial killer at the time that the FBI had to change their profiling techniques and knowledge of serial killers completely when Ridgeway was caught. From the 1980s when profiling was in its infancy until the early 2000s, it was generally believed that serial killers had high IQ's and were of above average intelligence. It was believed that serial killers had a hard time staying in relationships or keeping down jobs. Further, many experts in the field claimed that serial killers basked in the glory of their evil deeds, taunted police, and watched news coverage of their crimes. It was also taken as gospel that serial killers could not stop once they started killing and in general killers did not cross racial lines. None of these things applied to Gary Ridgway, adding to law enforcement’s belief that he was not a “good suspect.” (While Ridgway did write one anonymous letter to a newspaper, he did not aggressively flaunt his suspect status, or openly taunt police as some of the other men did.)
When DNA linked Ridgway to his murders, task force members weren’t totally shocked but they were surprised that it did not match one of the better suspects such as Melvyn Foster, William J. Stevens II, or any one of the violent pimps, husbands, boyfriends and exes who had been interviewed. They assumed their killer would be one of the men with more violence in his background, possibly a rape conviction, or one of suspects taunting them with letters and phone calls, but it wasn’t. Only detective Matt Haney wasn’t surprised.
As the phrase goes, hind sight is 20/20. I think this is a good saying to remember with this case. Once Ridgway was arrested many pieces fell into place and it painted a picture of an unhinged killer roaming King County, but no one piece of evidence was a smoking gun in this case. Ridgway dressed like the killer, plaid shirts and jeans but so did half of the working-class men in King County. Ridgway drove vehicles similar to the one reported by many witnesses, but how many men drove by the airport in tan or blue pickups and aged station wagons? Marie Malvar’s boyfriend was convinced Gary’s truck was the one he saw Marie climb into before her disappearance, but when Ridgway’s home was searched nothing of Marie’s was there. Investigators hit a brick wall, but kept Gary Ridgway in the back of their minds. Every little piece of evidence was part of a puzzle in this case but nothing conclusively tied Ridgway to anything more than being a client of many of the working girls in the area. This tip by Marie’s family and boyfriend was what lead Det. Haney to collect Ridgway’s DNA in ’87.
NOTE- before I go on, I just want to say that it would be naïve of me to pretend that the victims’ professions and life styles did not affect the investigation. It absolutely did. It affected public perceptions, law enforcement response, and media attention and these women did not receive the same attention as the Ted victims from seven years prior. For example, in late 1983, citizens called for a public forum and called for an “end of prostitution.” Detective Mullinax suggested that the killer was the problem, not the prostitutes and there were some very awkward moments before the citizens told him they just wanted Seattle to be free of sex workers. This was just one example of the public opinion not being kind to these women.
In this piece, I simply want to point out that law enforcement response was not as minimal as some people make it out to be. There have been many cases where law enforcement has completely dropped the ball when investigating the murders and disappearances of sex workers such as the Grim Sleeper investigation, but I do not think the Green River Task force deserves to be placed in the same category.
Additionally, if Ridgway was not caught ONLY because the police blatantly disregarded the cases of sex workers, then why wasn’t he caught after killing daycare worker Maureen Freeney? Or blonde waitress Carol Anne Christensen? But all measures these two women came from caring families, were white, and did not live in the scene, and were reported missing right away. If Ridgway was only going free due to poor law enforcement response, then he should have been caught after the deaths of the women above, but he was not.
Casualties
Because of the nature of Ridgway’s victims, media coverage was initially slim and many victims of Ridgway were never reported missing at all. Gary Ridgway was convicted or 49 murders although he admitted to over 71. In recent articles Ridgway has even confessed to leaving 80 bodies in King County alone. Investigators doubt King County was the only county that Ridgway operated in and it is generally believed that a string of bodies found in Tacoma and Portland, Oregon were the work of the Riverman. Some of those women are discussed below. Because of this information I am inclined to believe that Ridgway has many, many more victims who have never been found, who are unidentified, who were never reported missing or whose deaths were attributed to other things. Many missing women have been placed on the “Green River List” because the pool of potential victims is much larger than only missing sex workers. With the addition of these victims I think it is very possible that Ridgway’s victim count far surpasses any official numbers and may make him one of the worst serial killers in America.
Some of the women I believe were victimized by Ridgway are profiled below.
In conclusion, all of these things point to Ridgway being a much more prolific, cunning killer than many have made him out to be. If Ridgway’s known victim count is 70 (charged with 49) and he himself claims there is 80 bodies in King County alone, I think it is safe to assume the real number may be closer to 100.
Ridgway has only been charged with homicides if he both confessed to and there was one or more pieces of evidence against him. For example, if he led investigators to a body he was charged with that murder and all the murders of the women he left in the same cluster. He has also been charged with other cases if there was circumstantial evidence, fiber evidence, paint chip evidence, or DNA. He has not been charged with the murders of women still missing or women whose cases cannot be linked to him in corroborating way, which is why the confession list is so much longer than the charged list. Also please remember that mass murders are not known for their honesty and we have to take confessions with a grain of salt.
The official Green River Victim list is challenging to compile because different agencies have different lists, some add women are still missing while others add only known homicides. Some add all suspected victims, some do not. Some add victims to the list only if Ridgway is the prime suspect, and other lists add victims whose cases have other prime suspects but Ridgway is still a possibility.
Below I have completed write ups of women I believe were victims of Ridgway as well as a section to remember his proven victims, both known and unknown.
NOTE- I want this section to tell the women’s stories in a respectful way and initially I did not want to focus on either their professions or their physical appearances, but I was also wanted this section to be authentic and I don’t want to sugar coat any of these stories. For many of the victims there is very, very little information available. I think this is why sometimes their appearances are mentioned as it sounds better to say “At age 21, she was a tall woman with thick red hair and a great smile” rather than she died at 21. Additionally, some of these victims’ stories are not very pleasant and a in a few cases information from family and friends is unflattering or downright negative (Wendy Coffield and Marta Reeves specifically). Rather than skip these women or pretend these things did not occur I chose to include them in the summaries below. I added as many positives as I could and tried (key word tried) to shy away from information solely about their appearances or criminal records but sometimes no other information is available. I hope everyone can understand that my intention is to remember these women and their lives in the best possible way while realizing that not everything is positive. I ask you for only respect down in the comments. Thank you.
In remembrance
Gary Ridgway pled guilty to the homicides of the 49 people profiled in this piece. (Because this is a mystery sub reddit and the write-up will have to be put into broken into several pieces, I will begin with the Jane Does Ridgway confessed to killing. All other victims both potential and confirmed are placed in chronological order to the best of my ability.)
Jane Doe B-10 was a murder victim who was found in 1984, near the remains of Cheryl Wims. She was a white female between the ages of 12 and 19. She most likely died in the summer of 1983. She may have had brown hair and was around 5’5’ and 120 lbs. She was likely left-handed. She had a healed injury to the front of the left side of her skull. She is not Rose Cole, Janel Peterson, Susan Cappel, Lisa Dickinson, Wendy Huggy, Kase Lee, Keli McGinnis, Anna Anderson, Kristi Vorak, Amy Matthews, Teresa Hammon, Cheryl Wyant, Denise Dorfman, Carol Edwards, Linda Jackson, Angela Meeker, Andria Bailey, Dean Peters, Joan Hall, Patricia LeBlanc, MaryJo Long, or Kerry Johnson.
Jane Doe B-17’s bones were found twice. Some bones were found in 1984 and some more were found in 1986. She was most likely a white female, aged 14-19, around 5’4”- 5’8” and average weight, around 120-140 lbs. She most likely died in 1983. Ridgway said she died in Spring or Summer 1983. Isotope testing shows she is possibly from the Northern United states (Alaska, Montana, Idaho, North Dakota) or Canada. She is not Rose Cole, Janel Peterson, Susan Cappel, Lisa Dickinson, Wendy Huggy, Kase Lee, Keli McGinnis, Anna Anderson, Kristi Vorak, Linda Jackson, Andria Bailey, Joan Hall, Patricia LeBlanc, MaryJo Long, Carol Donn, Barbara Cotton, Pollyanne Carter or Kerry Johnson.
Jane Doe B- 20 was a murder victim who was discovered in 2003 after Ridgway led investigators to her body. Her skull was not recovered so no composite can be made and no race can be determined. She died in between 1973-1993 but most likely died in the late 1970s. She was likely 13-24 years old. Ridgway says she was a white woman about 20 years old with brown or blonde shoulder length hair who he killed in Summer ’82 or ’83. Ridgeway claims to have started his crime spree in ’82 but it could have been earlier. He does not remember killing anyone in the 1970s but admits it is possible. Jane Doe B-20 is not Keli McGinnis, Andria Bailey, Cora McGuirk, or Deborah Tomlinson.
Wendy Lee Coffield was a young woman whom life had never treated kindly. She was a junior high dropout, a chronic runaway, and a hitchhiker. She never had the chance to land on her feet and start over. She was only 16 when she was murdered in 1982. To add insult to injury, her own family even said they weren’t surprised when her “lifestyle” caught up with her. Gisele A. Lovvorn was a 17-year-old Dead Head and free spirit who wandered the country watching Grateful Dead shows with her on again off again boyfriend. In early high school was a straight A student before dropping out. In the summer of 1982, she called her parents in California to tell them she was going to travel home and re-enroll in high school. She left her apartment one Saturday in July at 1 pm to “turn 3 or 4 tricks” she never made it home and her parents were never able to see their free-spirited daughter again. Debra Lynn Bonner was 22 when her body was found in the Green River. She had dreams of getting a GED and joining the navy but an abusive relationship and addiction lead her to a life on the streets. Despite her profession, Debra called her parents regularly and was trying to pay off her debt (She had several unpaid tickets in Tacoma). She was planning to visit her father after he had an eye operation but she never made it home. Marcia Faye Chapman nicknamed Tiny, was a mother of three who engaged in sex work only to support the three children she loved so much. She left her apartment one August evening and disappeared into the night. She was only 31 years old. Cynthia Jean Hinds had no criminal record but frequented the streets of south Seattle. Everybody called the 17-year-old her nickname, Cookie. Her boyfriend and probable pimp reported that he last saw her get into a black Jeep on August 11th 1982. Her body was later recovered from the Green River. Opal Charmaine Mills was a biracial 16-year-old who, according to her brother, struggled to fit in in a racially divided world. She never got the chance to learn to be comfortable in her own skin because she disappeared after going to work in 1982. An occasional hitch hiker, Opal had no other links to the “scene.” Opal and her friend Cookie (Hinds) had been hired to do some painting near Angel Lake park. Opal called her parents to pick her up from work, but she never made it home. Terry Renee Milligan, a 15-year-old, hadn’t been seen for several weeks when her live-in boyfriend reported her missing and then immediately skipped town. Terry was a bright student who wanted to study computer science in college and dreamed of going to Yale. Terry gave birth to a son as a teenager and her hopes of college changed course, although friends have always explained that Terry adored her son and care of him the best she could. She was also musically inclined and sang in the church band all throughout her childhood. She was seen last arguing with another woman outside her apartment after that she disappeared. Mary Bridgett Meehan was adopted as a young child and grew up in Bellevue, a wealthy suburb east of Seattle. She was a compassionate soul who loved animals and children. She wanted to be a mother. Two miscarriages at ages 15 and 16 left her broken inside, her family and friends explained that she was never the same. She starting using drugs and drifted around the Seattle area and began engaging in sex work. Later, Mary gave up another baby for adoption after her boyfriend kicked her out because he didn’t want kids. But unfortunately, less than a year later, the cycle began again. Mary was back living with a dead-beat boyfriend and pregnant, except this time she was determined to be a good, stable mother, but she never got the chance. She left her motel room and vanished into the night at 8 months pregnant in September 1982.
Debra Lorraine Estes went by the name Betty Jones on the street. She was barely 15 and had entered the scene five years earlier at age 10. Her parents were always worried for her, driving the streets looking for their daughter and bailing her out of the King County jail under various names and aliases. Her pimp was a sleazy older man whom occasionally lived with her and her friend Becky Marrero. She was last known to be alive in September 1982, but may have been alive into December. Linda Rule’s parents divorced when she was a teen and the family disintegrated with each person taking their own paths. She last seen leaving her apartment and walking to Kmart on Aurora Avenue north, to buy clothes. When she did not arrive back home, her boyfriend assumed she had been arrested, but he couldn’t find her at any of the local jails. He did not think Linda was working as it was rare to see girls working Aurora Avenue during the day time. He immediately filed a missing person’s report. Unlike many other men in this case, her boyfriend was not believed to be a pimp. 16-year-old Linda and her boyfriend were saving up for their wedding and but it would never come.
Denise Darcel Bush, a 23-year-old Portland native had traveled to the SeaTac strip after hearing that money was better in Seattle. She suffered from epilepsy but used medication to keep it under control. She was last seen crossing the street to buy cigarettes. She was never reported missing and her friends all assumed she had simply had decided to go back to Portland. At the time, it was hard to know if she or many of the other girls left willingly or suffered a much worse fate. Shawnda Leea Summers from Bellevue, Washington loved going to the beach. She was last seen at the same intersection on the strip, the day after Denise Bush was last seen. She was not reported missing for months and some girls thought she had moved to Portland to work. Her parents looked for her whenever they could but Shawnda would never reach her 19th birthday.
Shirley Marie Sherrill at age 19 was described as tall and beautiful. She was last seen in the China town area of Seattle having lunch with a friend. They both left the restaurant to work and were picked up by different men. Shirley was never seen again. Like Shawnda and Denise, she disappeared in October 1982. Becky Marrero was the 20-year-old friend of Debra Estes. The two lived together at a motel on the SeaTac strip on and off. In the fall of 1982, Becky left her two-year-old son with her parents and told them she was leaving for a while and going to a place that “babies shouldn’t be”, but she would be back eventually. She packed her bags, borrowed some money from her father to rent a room and vanished. Becky was registered as living at a motel on the strip until December 1st ’82, along with her friend Debra Estes. She never made it home for Christmas like she said she would. Colleen Renee Brockman was 15 years old when she was last seen alive. She worked the SeaTac strip, but her friend Bunny and other girls still thought she was naïve. She trusted her customers wholeheartedly and enjoyed the gifts and dinner dates she got from johns. She was identified through the braces that were still on her teeth when her skull was found in Pierce County years after she was last seen. Delores Lavern Williams was a tall, slender, African American girl with a lovely smile. She worked near the Red Lion hotel near the airport and generally “dated” wealthier, traveling johns. In early 1983 locals and friends realized they hadn’t seen her in a few weeks. She was reported missing. She was only 17 years old. Alma Ann Smith hailed from wine country and was born in Walla Walla Washington. In the 8th or 9th grade she began traveling to Seattle alone on the weekends, something that confused her younger friends. She eventually moved to Seattle and was last seen entering a blue truck with a very average looking male. Gail Matthews was drifting through life in her mid-20s. She lived with her boyfriend, Curt in south Seattle. The couple did odd jobs, tried to win money by gambling, and hitchhiked around the area. Gail would occasionally come home with money that Curt assumed she made doing sex work but he wasn’t sure and didn’t want to ask about it. He saw Gail leave the bar they were at together saying she was going to “make some money”. He later saw her in a car with an average looking white guy with a mustache. For some reason the scene chilled him and he knew Gail was in trouble because she looked scared. He waited for Gail to come home but she never appeared. Curt called the police and the Gail’s family. Gail’s ex-husband had custody of their children, but he was worried about the young woman who he remembered as a meandering soul who wanted to be an artist. A missing person report would be filed in April 1983. Andrea M. Childers moved from California to Washington to move in with her father and step mother. She was a wonderful dancer who wanted to be a dance instructor to children. She taught a dance exercise class and was close to her elderly grandmother. At 16 she left her family home and was never seen again. Sandra K. Gabbert was called “Sand-e” by her family and was known as Smurf on the street. She was on the varsity basketball team in high school before dropping out at age 17. Sand-e moved in with her teenage boyfriend and started working on the SeaTac strip. Sand-e told her mother that she made more in turning one trick than she did working a whole week at KFC. Her mother understood her daughter’s desperation and commissioned her to “be careful.” They also talked about taking a trip to sunny California sometime. That was the last time Sand-e and her mother even spoke. Kimi Kai Pitsor street name Melinda was a happy 16-year-old who loved glitter, unicorns, and the color purple which was fitting for the young woman whose native Hawaiian name means “golden sea at dawn.” Kimi Kai always wanted to be an adult and when she turned 16, she left home to move in with her boyfriend/protector in downtown Seattle. Her boyfriend last saw her talking to a date in a blue pickup. She never made it home and her boyfriend called the police with the description of the vehicle. She had left home and entered the scene less than two months before. Tragically, Kimi Kai was the third of Joyce Pitsor’s three children to pass away. Kimi Kai’s two older siblings died as infants. Kimi Kai’s mother, Joyce later adopted three other children. Sandra D. Major was from Rochester, New York. Her family knew she worked as a prostitute and while they weren’t thrilled with her lifestyle, they always kept in touch and “loved her the same.” The last contact the Majors had with Sandra was a post card sent from Seattle. After that they lost touch. Sandra was believed to be last seen on Aurora Avenue north in 1983 at age 20. A TV in program in 2013 highlighted the unidentified victims of the Green River Killer, prompting the family to contact the police. Sandra was identified and laid to rest. The family gave a brief interview in which they asked for privacy. Because of this very little is known about Sandra’s personal life.
Marie Malvar’s came from a large Filipino family. At 18 she had left home but called her parents and siblings regularly. Marie’s boyfriend saw her enter a blue truck and drive away. She was gone a while and he decided to track down the truck. He drove where he saw the truck go but couldn’t find Marie or the vehicle. He was hesitant to contact the police due to their backgrounds and was even more scared to tell Marie’s parents about her profession. After 4 day had passed her boyfriend, brother, and parents went to the police station to report Marie missing. They even drove around with police until they found a similar looking truck. Police questioned the man and took down his information. His name was Gary Ridgway. But Marie wasn’t in his house and he had no record of note, so the police left. The man was one name among hundreds that they took back to the task force offices.
TO BE CONTINUED....
These sources are a good place to begin
Green River Running Red by Ann Rule
The Riverman: Ted Bundy and I hunt for the Green River Killer by Bob Keppel and William Birnes
The Search for the Green River Killer: The True Story of America's Most Prolific Serial Killer by Carlton Smith and Tomas Guillen
https://archive.seattletimes.com/archive/?date=19920727&slug=1504298
http://charleyproject.org/case/keli-kay-mcginness
https://unidentified.wikia.org/wiki/Green_River_victims
https://www.kingcounty.gov/depts/sheriff/about-us/enforcement/investigations/green-river.aspx
http://www.seattlemag.com/article/remembering-victims-green-river-killer
https://archive.seattletimes.com/archive/?date=19911121&slug=1318612

Not Financial Advice (NFA)
Warning: Wall of Text. If you hate reading just skim through the bolded/italicized
Ever since I publicized my findings on DKNG, the stock has underperformed & probably has fucked a lot of people here, especially given the overly bullish stance back in June. Unless you took my advice & got into Puts then, congrats, welcome to tendie town. For the ADHD retards, here’s what the next wall of text is going to summarize: I believe at the current price of ~$30, the stock is oversold.
A tech-focused, high-growth Company that has made sports betting easy to understand with an aesthetically pleasing interface similar to how Robinhood has neatly laid out stock market gimmicks so even high-schoolers can make sense of it I believe, is underpriced at these levels.
Let’s get into some details as to why the stock has underperformed:
First off, the news slate revolving sports with the rumored delay/cancellation of the MLB season & the NFL watching from the sidelines is in my view, just a part of why the stock has underperformed. We’ll revisit this later in this post, but I want to focus on the drivers of the stock’s recent underperformance, & why these factors are now in the rearview mirror.
Part I – The Past Has Passed – SPAC-related Equity Dilution
History lesson first: DKNG went public via a SPAC merger, which has exploded in popularity recently. Anyone serious about analyzing stocks going forward needs to do their homework on this, Google is your friend.
A feature of most SPAC merger to public listings that creates a headwind to near-term share prices are embedded equity dilution events, usually in the form of earn-outs (stock bonuses to execs, the SPAC sponsor) & conversion of Warrants.
On 5/24, the earn-outs were triggered, adding 6m shares to the share count.
On 6/26, 16.3m warrants converted to DKNG, netting them ~$188m of cash.
Stepping back a little, in addition to the above, on 6/18 DKNG launched a follow-on equity offering of 16M shares @ $40/Share [1], receiving $621M in proceeds.
The last part is tricky to understand from a dilution perspective. To simplify, historically it’s almost a coin toss whether a Company’s shares outperform on the onset of an equity offering. While issuing shares does dilute the existing shareholder base, it theoretically shouldn’t, if the proceeds from the offering are earmarked for investments/projects that yield outsized returns. This is the reality for the long term, theory for the short-term. For the short-term, the ‘reality’ isn’t that the proceeds will be used for investments/projects that yield outsized returns, it is more about how convincing management is to investors that the investments they intend to pursue with the proceeds will outweigh the dilutive effects of issuing incremental shares. That’s a mouthful, but hopefully you get what I’m trying to convey.
All of this stuff put together – the Company has increased its share count by ~39M, but now has a whopping ~$1.4Bn of cash [2]. More on this in the next section.
Part II – MLB News Should Not Fucking Matter & DKNG Is Positioned As the Leading Online/Mobile Sports Platform
DKNG should not be so tied to MLB news or any of this shit as the ongoing success of the NBA/NHL season + Soccer in Europe has effectively created a blueprint on how to regulate player behavior so that they maintain professionalism amidst the pandemic. I’m going out on a whim here, but I truly think the MLB threatening a cancellation of the season is pure posturing to get these fuckers to behave appropriately. Maybe a ‘bubble’ is what it takes to get these players to focus on their jobs instead of going out & contracting COVID, but I argue that isn’t necessarily required given Soccer in Europe. So there’s already a proven path here without the need for a bubble in Soccer, so MLB/NFL should be fine, and execs need to study how they got it done in Europe. Okay, back to some facts.
Anecdotally, I’ve kept in touch with a handful of sports bookies from California to New York & even internationally about what they’re seeing – all of them say that since the NBA season started on 7/30 & since Soccer (especially the Premier League) resumed in June, along with other leagues like La Liga & Serie A, they’ve seen massive increases in betting.
These numbers are also showing up in the official data [3]:

• Average % increase in sports betting handle from April 2020 to June 2020 (handle is the total $ wagered in sports bets) from the states that reported up to June 2020 (NJ, PA, MS, RI, WV, IA, IN, NH) of +258%!
  
  • Note: NV is left out due to the site I sourced showing a weirdly negative number – so I dug into the official filings & show specifically, Sports Mobile betting growth from June since April has growing by at least +73% [4]

REMEMBER: This is for June only! No NBA, No NHL, No MLB, just Soccer, Golf, NASCAR & UFC.
The data clearly shows that there was a ton of pent-up sports betting demand, which leads one Wall St. analyst to think that betting on the NBA/NHL could ABSORB the MLB’s sports betting handle (handle = total $ size of sports bet) [5]. Remember, the MLB season is still ongoing, with games being played. The entire focus is on the Miami Marlins & St. Louis Cardinals. Fucking retards.
Additionally, I want to remind everyone that DraftKings.com is the #1 Fantasy sports website in the U.S. [6]. Also, since April 2020 site visitations are up +86% [7] & Google Search Trends for “Draft Kings” is up ~3x compared to PRE-COVID levels [8]. What does this mean? They are piquing more people’s curiosity than prior to COVID/ongoing slate of sports.
This is important because remember that ~$1.4Bn chest full of cash I mentioned DKNG had assembled earlier? Well, that money is being put to work & results are already coming in, which is exactly what DKNG intended to do with it.
Part III – Legalization of Sports Betting in the U.S.
I could write a fucking bible on this topic alone, but for now we’ll stick to some basics. Due to COVID, it’s easy to understand that each State’s financial situation is clearly in shit. Because of this, you better believe that these guys are going to start taking a hard look at how they can extract additional tax revenues, & what’s one of the easiest ways to do this? Legalization & taxation of gambling.
The big players: CA, TX, FL & NY. First, CA pushing its legislation out to 2023 was fucked up, but here’s a twist I want to add to this: Anything that has to do with gambling in CA you better believe is lobbied against by not just the Tribal casino owners in CA, but by the deep pockets of Las Vegas money. Similar thing can be said for FL, but let’s take a look at some actions by LV/nationwide gambling companies that are starting to align financial incentives with guys like DKNG.

• MGM / GVC Holdings JV in BetMGM - $450m total invested
• PENN invests $163m into BS Sports
• Caesars has a 20% stake in William Hill plus partnership deals with The Stars Group (TSG) & our winner DKNG for operating its sports books

So it’s safe to say going forward, nationwide legalization of sports betting will reap rewards for everyone involved, & no longer be something LV money is completely focused on safeguarding.
Let’s also not forget that DKNG didn’t become the Company they are today because of their fancy app, but because their management team has a HISTORY of navigating the U.S.’s legal framework to get what they want out of it.

• The Crown Jewel – The Internet Gambling Prohibition & Enforcement Act: I said it in a previous post, but I want to emphasize that them getting Fantasy Sports to be labeled a ‘game of skill’ by FEDERAL Law as opposed to gambling is just something for the history books. Fucking genius shit. When this happened I bet every casino from LV to every Indian Tribe that has one was against it, yet DKNG & other DFS providers won.
• There’s more, but more recently: Getting into IL:
  
  • In IL, there’s an 18-month ‘penalty box’ for Companies that offer DFS to offer sports betting. Our guys at DKNG created a workaround to this situation with their partnership with Casino Queen [9]. DKNG being savvy again.

These guys are at the cutting edge of creating legal frameworks to successfully launch their products & now with more of their ‘competitors’ financially aligned with them, combined with financial deterioration of State budgets, we should see an overweighting of good news vs. bad on the legal front.
Final Part – Share Price Targets
Under-fucking priced at anything below $42.50
Near-term catalysts:
8/14: DKNG files 2Q’20 results, might be shitty, but you can bet that the Earnings Call is going to contain rhetoric on how massive the uptick in sports betting has been since late June/July.
Sometime from now until November: NY releases ‘study’ by Spectrum Gaming on online/mobile sports betting.
8/20 – 9/7: PGA Championship for FedEx Cup Title
9/5 – KY Derby
9/10: NFL KickOff Game
9/17: PGA U.S. Open Start Date
Month of October: NBA/NHL Playoffs
10/1: Estimated launch of online sports betting in TN
11/1: Estimated launch of online sports betting in VA
[1] https://draftkings.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/draftkings-announces-proposed-public-offering-class-common-stock
[2] Wall St. Research – DKNG on 6/29/20
[3] https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting/revenue/
[4] https://gaming.nv.gov/modules/showdocument.aspx?documentid=16984; Note: Nevada did not break out April/May figures but from the Revenue difference of 3 month ended June 30 of 4,950 vs. month of June of 2,297 for a total difference of 2,653 spread evenly over April/May for a base case April estimate of 1,327.
[5] Wall St. Research - 7/27/20
[6] https://www.similarweb.com/top-websites/category/sports/fantasy-sports/
[7] https://www.similarweb.com/website/draftkings.com/#overview
[8] https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=draft%20kings Feb 23-29, 2020 vs. Current Aug 2 – Aug 8, 2020
[9] https://www.legalsportsreport.com/42314/draftkings-illinois-sports-betting-market-access/

I believe I have identified a possible 50x profit or greater warrant play. The problem is, it isn't sexy. It isn't an EV bus with online gambling terminals to keep tourists occupied on their way to outer space. Also, this is unlikely to return 50x your money in the next 3 months, like the super SPACs did this year, but over the next two to 3 years, if at all.
This is a high risk, high reward play. To abuse a baseball metaphor, you will either strike out, or hit a monster home run. My instincts are that there is a less than 10% chance of 50x, and a greater than 50% chance of losing money. But honestly, there aren't many opportunities where you can see a clear path to a possible 50x return which basically involves nothing going wrong, rather than everything going insanely right.
I am intentionally posting this after market close on a Friday, so potential investors will have plenty of time to read this, research it, and come to their own conclusions. Once again, I am not an investment advisor, all of this is my own opinion and my own research. Please use this research as your own starting point, and DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE before making any decision. Anyone who buys anything based solely on my opinion is making an error in judgement.
The warrants I am describing are TZACW, Tenzing Acquisition Corp. They have signed a definitive agreement with Reviva Pharmaceuticals, a late-stage clinical development pharmaceutical company headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
http://revivapharma.com/
For everyone who didn't stop reading right there, congratulations. Pharmaceutical companies that aren't peddling potential COVID cures aren't drawing a lot of attention nowadays. But that's how you make out sized gains; you see the potential before the broader market figures it out.
From Tenzing's S-1 registration: "Parag Saxena, our Chairman, has been part of direct investments in companies that have created hundreds of thousands of jobs and that have an aggregate market value exceeding $500 billion as of June 2018 in a career spanning over 30 years. Mr. Saxena is a multi-year member of Forbes’ Midas list, which ranks the World’s best technology investors. He has a strong track record in raising capital and successful investments in both public and private markets around the world.". That statement alone was enough to convince me to dig into the details of this deal. Here is the DD I have come up with:
First, the warrant basics. There are 6,325,000 public TZAC warrants currently outstanding. Each warrant entitles the holder thereof to purchase one ordinary share at a price of $11.50 per share. These warrants will become exercisable for $11.50 as soon as the business combination is completed. Warrants can be called for redemption " if, and only if, the reported last sale price of the ordinary shares equals or exceeds $21.00 per share, for any 20 trading days within a 30-trading day period ".
Reviva Pharmaceuticals has more than one drug, but the one that will drive returns on this stock is named Brilaroxazine. Brilaroxazine has successfully completed global phase 2 clinical trials for schizophrenia. The global market for schizophrenia drugs is about $8 billion per year. The drug is also entering phase 2 trials for bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder, pulmonary arterial hypertension, and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. The combined global markets for those ailments is about $42 billion per year. So, IF Brilaroxazine makes it through all of the trials, and can take 1% of the global market for those maladies, that would be about $500 million in sales, which wouldn't be terrible for a $120 million company.
The TZAC / Reviva business plan is to take $34 million in Tenzing funding, along with $5 million in debt financing and $5 million in licensing deals in Asia and South America, to pay for the phase 3 trial for schizophrenia in the U.S. as well phase 2 studies for other maladies. How long that will take isn't spelled out in the presentation, but they do mention G&A expenses for 2 years in the budget estimates for the studies.
Most of this information can be found in the investor presentation:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1742927/000110465920087685/tm2025979d1_ex99-1.htm
However, it was the chart on page 10 of that presentation which really caught my eye. One of the "Comparable Companies in Neuroscience" is Karuna Therapeutics Inc, which is listed on NASDAQ as KRTX.
According to this website, Karuna Therapeutics had 19 employees as of Jan 1, 2020: So it is not a large company.
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/KRTX/karuna-therapeutics/number-of-employees
Karuna Theraputics is also developing a drug targeting schizophrenia. Karuna's drug is KarXT. Karuna recently reported 2nd quarter 2020 results. The earnings release lists the upcoming clinical trial process for KarXT, and also shows that Karuna has $368 million in cash and cash equivalents on hand to fund their R&D and these trials.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1771917/000119312520209797/d79713dex991.htm
Karuna Therapeutics was listed on the NASDAQ market on July 2, 2019, via traditional IPO. The IPO price was $16 a share.
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190702005561/en/Karuna-Therapeutics-Announces-Closing-Initial-Public-Offering
Chances are you never heard of Karuna Therapeutics. Yet at the end of 2019, Bloomberg called them "2019's best performing IPO".
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-20/year-s-best-u-s-ipo-is-a-little-known-biotech-with-420-surge
On November 18, 2019, Karuna issued a press release, announcing that KarXT "Met Primary Endpoint in Phase 2 Clinical Trial of Acute Psychosis in Patients with Schizophrenia". This is the press release and the investor presentation from the 8-K filed that day:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1771917/000119312519293845/d836305dex991.htm
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1771917/000119312519293845/d836305dex992.htm
KRTX stock was trading below $12 a share in Oct 2018, and was at $18 per share when that news was announced. By one week later, the stock was trading at $85, after hitting a high of $124 on Nov 19th. Despite early investors getting the chance to take profits off that huge gain, if you check the charts, you'll find KRTX has been trading in the range from $65 ( March COVID low) to $110 ever since.
The link for the investor presentation for Reviva is listed above. Compare the chart on page 12 of the Reviva presentation with the chart on page 17 of the Karuna presentation.
Reviva's drug Brilaroxazine is just as far along in development as Karuna's KarXT, and may be effective for more ailments than KarXT. In fact, KarXT was being tested for "Pain", it failed that trial:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1771917/000119312520208124/d802568dex991.htm
So, these are similarly sized companies, developing medications targeting many of the same ailments. Karuna is much better capitalized, at the moment. Karuna has $368 million in cash, TZAC will have $34 million. Both are at the same point in clinical development.
Karuna has a $2.2 billion market cap, while Reviva will have an initial market cap of $120 million. Karuna has a market cap almost 20 times larger than Reviva. Even after backing out the cash on hand, Karuna is valued over $1.8 billion, that is still 15x what Reviva is being valued at.
So, what does all of this mean? Well, right now, TZACW has been selling in the 30 cent range. 50 times that is $15. Is it possible for TZACW to hit $15? That would mean TZAC would need to rise to about $27 per share. At $27 per share, TZAC would have about a $325 million market cap. That would still be about one-seventh of Karuna's market cap.
Also, take a look at the chart on page 10 of the Reviva investor presentation. The three "comparable" companies show the market caps when they were listed on the public markets, as well as their market caps today. Notice that all 3 companies have tripled or better the initial market cap. If Reviva can do that within 5 years, Reviva will sell for $30 a share.
Will any of this happen? We're back in the batter's box. Strikeout, or monster home run?
Here are the major risks:
1). The merger falls through.
This is always a risk with SPAC mergers. No date for the shareholder vote has been set. However, TZAC did post a S-4 form on 8/12. That form is both the preliminary prospectus, AND the registration form which will register the common stock underlying the TZACW warrants. TZACW warrants will be exrcisable as soon as the business combination is completed ( NO 30 day or longer waiting period! ). And TZAC has already filed the paperwork with NASDAQ to reserve the tickers RVPH and RVPHW. So far, at least, TZAC is progressing nicely towards the shareholder vote. The deadline is September 28, 2020.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1742927/000110465920094004/tm2027235-1_s4.htm
Also, now that they have a funding path to proceed, Reviva has ( I believe this is what this page shows ) filed to begin Phase 2 and Phase 3 trials:
21 Jul 2020 Reviva Pharmaceuticals plans to initiate a phase II trial for Pulmonary arterial hypertension
21 Jul 2020 Reviva Pharmaceuticals plans a phase III trial for Schizophrenia in USA ,
21 Jul 2020 Reviva Pharmaceuticals plans phase II trials for Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis
https://adisinsight.springer.com/drugs/800035778
On page 9 of the Reviva investor presentation, they show the budget estimates for these trials. The above seems to indicate Reviva has now registered to begin them. All of these are positive signs, but that is no assurance the deal does not fall through.
2). Brilaroxazine fails the Phase 3 Clinical Trials.
This is also a real risk.
"Interestingly, the POS ( probability of success ) to get from Phase 3 to approval was only 59.0%. This means that around 2 out of every 5 drugs that reach Phase 3 “confirmatory” trials still fail to win approval for the indication being investigated. Even when looking only at lead indications, still about 30% of drugs in Phase 3 fail to reach approval."
https://www.nuventra.com/resources/blog/why-do-clinical-trials-fail/
Based on the above, there is a 30 to 40% chance that brilaroxazine might fail the phase 3 U.S. schizophrenia trial.
The drug did very well in the phase 2 clinical trials:
"Reviva has already successfully completed a multicenter, multinational phase 2 clinical study for brilaroxazine in patients with schizophrenia and schizoaffective disorders where it demonstrated robust efficacy with remission in acute schizophrenia and promising efficacy for comorbid negative, cognition, depression and mood symptoms. Moreover, brilaroxazine showed an excellent safety and tolerability profile compared to the placebo with no weight gain, metabolic, cardiac or movement side effects, which resulted in good acceptance and compliance."
https://www.biospace.com/article/releases/reviva-pharmaceuticals-announces-successful-completion-of-pre-ind-meeting-with-fda-on-brilaroxazine-for-the-treatment-of-idiopathic-pulmonary-fibrosis-ipf-/
However, the phase 3 trials will be much larger, and all will be conducted in the US (previous phase 2 clinical trial was global). So there can be no assurance that brilaroxazine will prove effective for treating any of the disorders that it will be undergoing trials to alleviate.
Also, it appears brilaroxazine passed the global phase 2 trials in 2015, and has now been languishing for 5 years. Why? Good question, for which I have found no firm answer. The U.S. phase 3 clinical trial will take approximately $21.5 million to complete. It very well could be that Reviva, which has been funded "through a series of equity financing led by hedge funds, family offices, and high-net-worth professionals associated with the pharmaceuticals, healthcare, and high-tech industries since its inception", simply didn't have that cash and could not find financing until now (perhaps because of the success of KRTX).
Here is the link to the NIH report on the Phase 2 clinical trials:
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01490086
Reviva may have decided to use their limited cash pool to get brilaroxazine declared an orphan drug by the FDA so that it can be entered in trials and expedited for the treatment of IPF ( Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis ) and PAH ( Pulmonary arterial hypertension ), which they are now scheduling for trials.
https://pulmonaryfibrosisnews.com/2019/06/05/fda-provides-guidance-for-reviva-plans-on-brilaroxazine-for-ipf/
There you have it. That's where my DD ends, and yours begins. If your portfolio has a high risk, high return allocation with an extended time window, then TZACW may be worth researching and adding. I did, but I certainly would NOT "yolo" into it; especially based on anything some anonymous post on reddit recommended.
Disclosure: Long TZACW.

Given the recently situation with COVID and not wanting to spend much time in stores, my glasses-wearing family decided to do a little experiment with ordering glasses and lens replacements online. We needed a few new pairs of glasses and lenses replaced in 2 other pairs. I decided to try out several different online/mail order options. Figured I’d share our experience since this seems to be a frequent question on this sub.
Zenni Optical (order #1): Ordered July 11th and received July 18th (7 days). This first order came super fast, although I did pay for express shipping.
Zenni Optical (order #2): Ordered July 18th, received August 1 (14 days). This was regular shipping speed.
Zenni Optical (order #3): Ordered July 20th, received Aug 4 (15 days). Even though we paid for express shipping on this one, it took the longest to arrive. Go figure.
Overall impression of Zenni: Good, reliable, low-cost option, but you get what you pay for. The prescriptions seemed accurate but the quality of frames isn’t great, and some frames are better than others. It’s hard to tell just looking at the website which frames are going to have better quality (although the reviews help). Two pairs were decent enough that my kids will use them as back-up pairs. But one pair was really cheesy and will probably never get used (or will be kept for dire emergencies). But it was also only like $25-$30/pair, so worth the gamble. Zenni has a ton of options for kids and the home try-on tool works nicely. Zenni glasses are manufactured in China, then shipped to California, and then shipped out to the customer. There seems to be a lot of variation in how long orders take to arrive, regardless of shipping method selected. And once they arrive in California, they don’t always get shipped out right away. I found this kind of frustrating. However, I will say that their customer service reps are incredibly responsive. Don’t order these expecting them to arrive quickly. Also, shipping method doesn’t seem to really make much difference so don’t pay extra for “express” shipping!
LensDirect: We used this company to replace the lenses in a pair of glasses we had. We placed our order on July 20th and mailed in our frames on July 21 via USPS (using the provided shipping label). LensDirect turned around the order and shipped back out to us on July 29th and we received the glasses on August 1. It probably helps that we’re only located about 250 miles from their lab in NY. Quality of returned glasses was excellent. Prescription seemed accurate and quality was what I’d expect from any optical store. No complaints!
Overnight Glasses: This was another company that we sent a pair of frames to so that we could get new lenses. While the company was responsive to an inquiry I had (there’s a number you can call and you get a live person!) their turnaround was a bit slower. We placed our order on July 21 and mailed the glasses in that day via USPS. The glasses arrived to them on July 26th. I got an email on July 29th stating that the order had entered the “coating and cutting stage.” We received our glasses on Aug 5. This lab is located in California so that explains part of the longer time. No concerns with the quality and they did a great job packaging the glasses to ship back. Even included a nice cloth and some cleaning stuff. I would be willing to use them again, just being aware that they will take a bit longer because they are located across the country from us.
Tip regarding mail-order lens replacement: Pick the place that is closest to your home if you need your glasses back fast, as that definitely seems to affect the return time (because obviously your frames have to travel there and then back again). But in terms of quality, I’d use either place again. LensDirect was just as fast as any local optical store for replacing lenses. Look online for coupon codes; I found one for both places.
JonasPaul: My daughter wanted a pair of “cool” glasses so we got a try-on box from this company. I wish they offered an online trial tool or the option of including different glasses in the try-on box, but the trial box arrived within 4 days of ordering it and had a decent selection. The box comes with 7 frames (and most frames can be ordered in different colors). The customer support staff were really responsive when I messaged them asking about which frame size was best for my daughter. We picked out a pair and placed the order on July 25th (a Saturday). The order was “confirmed” on Monday July 27th. We received the glasses on Aug 8 (today). The quality of these glasses is definitely superior to Zenni or other mail-order sites we’ve used. The frames have spring hinges and are sturdy, and I love the silicone on the ear pieces. The turn-around time was a bit slower than I expected but not horrible. I would use this company again because the quality and style of the frames is excellent, as is the customer service. The company is geared towards kids but the large kids frames would probably work for some small adults. They also have a few frames for teens that would work for adults. My daughter loves the glasses and said they are more comfortable than several of her other pairs. No complaints!
Warby Parker: I placed an order for a new pair on May 26th (after using their home try-on box) and received the glasses on June 5th. I’ve ordered several pairs of glasses from Warby Parker in the past and have always been really happy with them. The time to ship for this was order was a day or two longer than previous orders, but still came well within the expected delivery time. I really like their home try-on tool (that I use with my iPhone); I found it to be very accurate in terms of what the glasses will look like. I have a very narrow face and it’s nice that Warby Parker is increasing the number of narrow and extra-narrow frames available for home try-on. They continue to be one of my favorite options for ordering glasses online. I have several pairs and they have all held up very well. My only complaint is that not all of their glasses are available for home try-on. Warby Parker, please change this!
For all companies other than Warby Parker, I was able to find coupon codes online to take a few dollars off each order. So look for those before ordering.
Overall, I would use any of these companies again, but with the knowledge that Zenni is going to be slow and cheap, LensDirect the fastest (for us), and Warby Parker and JonasPaul the best for overall quality and style when picking frames.

When we think of high schoolers from the 1990s who had gone straight to the NBA the first names that usually come to mind are Kevin Garnett, Kobe Bryant, and Tracy McGrady. But have you heard of Leon Smith? Just like KG, Kobe, and McGrady, he was drafted in the first round straight out of high school, albeit with the 29th and final pick in the first round of the 1999 draft. His surprisingly little-known story is one of the more stranger and saddening stories I’ve come across while exploring the internet’s basketball rabbit holes. It’s a story that combines teenage egoism, an orphaned young man being handed instant fame and fortune, and mental health crises. To be honest, I was extremely surprised by the fact that barely anything is written about this guy on the internet. I don’t think I’ve ever personally come across a post or even a comment on this subreddit about Leon Smith. If you type “Leon Smith basketball” on Google the latest articles that pop up are from 2002. Weird. Even though his basketball career amounted to quite little, his story is one that’s worth discussing. I’m certain it would be a top sporting headline if it were to have happened 20 years later, especially with athletes being much more open about their own mental health struggles in recent years.
What my post will do here is summarize Leon’s time in the shadows of the NBA. But if you’re bored and have nothing to do amidst this quarantine thing, I strongly recommend you read the three articles I reference at the bottom of this in their chronological order. Again, Leon’s tale is truly fascinating and what I write won’t give justice to the details in these pieces that make his story what it is.
“The manchild staggers backward, nearly upending a stroller and its tow-headed contents before regaining his balance. Once again, Leon Smith has been tripped up by fate.” These are the first two sentences written about Leon Smith in a summer 1999 ESPN article by Stephen Rodrick. Leon, a big (6’10 + 7’6 wingspan) and skilled forward hailing from the projects of Chicago, was a local phenom and a top college basketball recruit in 1999. He was the 12th ranked high-schooler in the nation in the 1999 RSCI rankings, 2 spots higher than Jason Richardson and 4 spots lower than Carlos Boozer.
After a tumultuous 1998-99 school year which included him trying to transfer to California, having a missing person’s report filed on him, bad grades, ditching practices, and ultimately winning the city championship, he decided to forgo college altogether and declared for the ’99 draft. He was drafted by the Spurs with the 29th pick and immediately had his rights traded to the Mavericks. Allegedly, GM/coach Don Nelson was worried that the emerging super-team Lakers would draft him with the 30th pick. Interestingly enough, Nelson had never seen Leon play nor had he interviewed him. For Leon, an abandoned child who grew up in group homes with seven siblings, making it to the NBA was a big success. A boy who had used to pick through garbage with his brother for food had now secured $1.45 million of guaranteed NBA money.
To onlookers, Leon mostly came off as quiet and shy, but goofy once he felt comfortable. Perhaps he wasn’t too wise either judging by the fact he had his girlfriend’s name “Cappie” tattooed onto him. For those curious, Cappie was a women’s high school basketball star from Chicago just like Leon. Today you might know her as Cappie Pondexter: a 7x WNBA All-Star, WNBA Finals MVP, and one of the best point guards in women’s basketball history. Small world. Leon was also a gold mine for out-of-the-box and at times odd quotes. Here are some of my favourites from the aforementioned ESPN article:
On basketball:

“This is a game that started out being played by ladies. Then man decides they want to play, and they wreck this game. I didn’t create this game. I’m just it. I’m lost just like every other player involved in this whole system.”

On what he tells children when he visits them at group homes:

“I’m not gonna sit there and tell anybody not to sell drugs. Everybody is gonna choose their own path. I can’t judge them. If you’re going to be the best bank robber, rob the bank the best you can without hurting anybody. You got to make your own decisions whether for good or for bad.”

On the possibility of any regrets regarding going pro so early:

“Nobody knows why things happen, why you’re white and I’m black. It’s all unexplained phenomena. I can’t explain why my past is my past. I can’t look back, I have to look forward.”

Anyway, Leon’s early criticisms stemmed from his unusually poor work ethic and lack of basketball fundamentals. Eventually, his character also became a concern. In the summer of 1999, an incident occurred at Mavs rookie camp. As per the ESPN article:

“On July 6, the media had gathered at the Mavs practice facility to witness the unveiling of the team’s No. 1 pick. Things went well until the wind sprints. When a scrub finished too slowly, assistant coach Donnie Nelson, son of head coach Don Nelson, announced that the whole team would run again. Leon had other ideas. ‘You run it’, he shouted at Donnie. Nelson told Smith such insolence had just doubled his sprints. At that point, Leon stripped off his jersey and stalked alone to the locker room. The scene made for great video. Leon Smith’s introduction to the nation was as a crybaby. The next day, Smith semi-apologized, saying, ‘This is Leon every day. I’m not going to change.’”

This was the beginning point of a downward spiral. Up next was Leon firing 2 agents in his first NBA off-season and him being banished from being around the team as a result of his behaviour. He was asked not to attend the Mavs season opener in Chicago on November 2nd, 1999 but did so anyways against the wishes of the front office and coaches. Not even 6 months had passed since the draft and the Mavs wanted nothing to do with their first round pick. To Leon’s friends and family, it was the team that was in the wrong for their mishandling of the young protégé. From there things got exponentially worse.
On November 14th Leon attempted suicide by swallowing 250 aspirin tablets. When police officers arrived at the scene, he had war paint painted on his face and told them “I am an Indian fighting Columbus”. Luckily, he survived despite arriving at the hospital in critical condition. At some point between November 2nd and 14th, Cappie had broken up with him which evidently triggered a breakdown. After being released from the hospital Leon was arrested twice for threatening Cappie and damaging her family’s car in a fit of anger. Following this, he was admitted to a psychiatric ward where he was ordered to remain for a month. He was let go by the Mavericks in February 2000, and his time in the NBA looked like it was over before it even began.
Following his release from the psychiatric ward, Leon continued his professional basketball journey with the goal of playing in the NBA. Between 2000 and 2002 he bounced between teams in the now defunct IBL (International Basketball League) and D-League. In January 2002, he got a fresh opportunity with the injury-riddled, bottom-dwelling Atlanta Hawks. They signed Leon to a 10-day contract, which led to two more 10-day contracts, followed by a multi-year contract. He played a total of 14 games for the Hawks that season, averaging 7 minutes per game. Unfortunately, he was traded to the Bucks in August and waived in the pre-season. The next couple of seasons he again bounced between minor leagues with a stop in Puerto Rico. At the end of the 03-04 season the Seattle Supersonics took a gamble on the still young big-man, but he only suited up for one game for them. He was again waived in October the following season.
Following his release from the Sonics in 2004, Leon took what looks like a 3 year hiatus from basketball. Some sources say that he played in Mexico and Chile at some point, but it’s difficult to find out when and where. In 2007 he signed with a team in Argentina, and that was the last stop in his professional basketball career. Luckily for curious basketball fans like you and I, this brief stint in Argentina produced the only online video I could find of him playing basketball: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wc-AcO1igs0 . It’s quite clear that this guy is physically in a league of his own. Big, dominant, and not afraid to dunk the ball in your face. His finishing was pretty clearly NBA-level and he swallowed rebounds whole. He even had a couple of nice passes in that game. The Argentinian crowd absolutely loved him judging by their cheers and his post-game autograph handouts. You can really see why he was drafted straight out of high school and why the Hawks and Sonics gave him second and third chances following his Mavs spell.
Since 2007, Leon has essentially disappeared from the internet and has become a bit of a mystery. You would think that as a guy who was drafted in the first round out of high school he would be mentioned more often – even as a cautionary tale – but that doesn’t seem to be the case. You would also think, given what we know about mental illness in 2020, that his story would be more of a focal point when discussing the taboos of mental illness in the sporting world, but this also doesn’t seem to come up. After all, it was only 8 years ago that Royce White was drafted into the NBA and broke barriers as a vocal advocate for mental health accommodation after revealing his own struggles to a national audience. Since then, we’ve had stars in Kevin Love and DeMar DeRozan also open up about their respective problems.
Despite it being a decade and a half since the mainstream has heard from Leon Smith, I hope that he’s doing okay. To be honest, part of me is slightly worried that there’s a less-than-okay reason why we haven’t heard of him at all since the mid-2000s. With respect to his privacy, maybe it’s best not to get too deep into an investigation. What Leon does leave legacy-wise is an important story about the rigors of mental illness combined with new-found fortune and fame. He definitely wasn’t ready to be an NBA player, and the NBA wasn’t ready in 1999 to handle the mental health crisis of one of its players. Although to a certain extent Leon is responsible for his own misgivings, I can’t help but imagine what could have been if he hadn’t been born into a worst-case-scenario. When I think of this, I go back to a part in the ESPN article which discusses his childhood:

“By the age of 5, Leon Smith, with his younger brother, Jerry, had become adept at sliding under the gates of convenience stores around Chicago’s Rockwell Gardens projects. Not getting fed at home, the brothers lived on the candy they swiped. Eventually, they got caught. 'Wheres your mom?' the cop asked. 'Don't know', Leon mumbled. A funny thing happened at police headquarters. Leon didn’t want to leave. 'That police station was the cleanest place we’d ever been in our young lives', he recalls. 'I didn’t know a place could be that clean.'”

TLDR: Leon Smith was a high school 1st round pick in 1999, had severe personality issues as related to an extremely unfortunate upbringing, dated a future WNBA great, attempted suicide, was arrested twice and put in a psych ward, was released by the Mavs before playing a game, managed to have a couple of cups of coffee in the NBA but mostly toiled in minor and international leagues, and has been virtually forgotten about since the mid-2000s. His current status is a mystery.
Articles that I used and that you should read in chronological order:
https://www.espn.com/espn/magazine/archives/news/story?page=magazine-19990906-article30 (Summer 1999)
https://www.nytimes.com/2000/01/30/sports/pro-basketball-blinded-by-talent-leon-smith-struggles-to-return-to-the-nba.html (January 30, 2000)
https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-xpm-2000-12-17-0012170023-story.html (December 17, 2000)